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Archive for December 28th, 2011

Oh no, the worst Democrat in the Senate is leaving

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on December 28th, 2011 5:37 am by HL

Oh no, the worst Democrat in the Senate is leaving
The man who never met a Republican talking-point he didn’t adopt, from unemployment assistance to killing the public option is retiring. Democrats on Tuesday lamented Sen. Ben Nelson’s decision to retire rather than seek a third term in Nebraska, fearing the move sets up Republicans for an easy and crucial victory in their effort to […]

The man who never met a Republican talking-point he didn’t adopt, from unemployment assistance to killing the public option is retiring.

Democrats on Tuesday lamented Sen. Ben Nelson’s decision to retire rather than seek a third term in Nebraska, fearing the move sets up Republicans for an easy and crucial victory in their effort to reclaim control of the chamber next year.

And somehow he jeopardizes the Democrats ability to keep the Senate…and do nothing at all with it. Oh no.

If only there was a really white douchebag knight on a white steed’s flaming bag of horse manure to keep the world safe for inanity?

Mission about to be accomplished.

Late, Late Night FDL: Spirits in The Material World
The Police – Spirits in The Material World

The Police – Spirits in The Material World (Lyrics)

What’s on your mind tonite…?


Baby New Year

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on December 28th, 2011 5:36 am by HL

Baby New Year

By Mike Luckovich

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Future of Fossil Fuels

By Brian Fairrington, Cagle Cartoons

Mr. Fish's Cartoon

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Darren Hutchinson: Congress and Wealth: Considering the Influence of Race, Gender, Class and Education

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on December 28th, 2011 5:35 am by HL

Darren Hutchinson: Congress and Wealth: Considering the Influence of Race, Gender, Class and Education
With the median net worth of our Congress at $913,000, many members have been insulated from the harmful impact of the economic downturn. This fact, however, lacks a lot of information that could put this data into a more informative context.

Will Bankrupt Toll Road Bankrupt The Feds?
When federal officials finalized a loan to a consortium building a toll road through open country in San Diego County near the Mexican border in…

DNC Takes Aim At Mitt Romney’s Finances, Flip-Flops
The Democratic National Committee’s Iowa surrogates have sent out some strong talking points with which they intend to go after Mitt Romney during the former…

Rick Perry Shifts Views On Abortion
OSCEOLA, Iowa — Republican Rick Perry is shifting his opposition to abortion, saying he opposes it even after rape or incest. Perry on Tuesday told…


Nevada Judge Rejects Personhood Petition For Being Too Vague

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on December 28th, 2011 5:34 am by HL

Nevada Judge Rejects Personhood Petition For Being Too Vague
A judge in Nevada is smacking down “personhood” advocates left and right.


Alleged Tea Party HD Scammer Countersues Former Business Partners
A conservative businessman, accused of scamming investors in a Tea Party television venture, is countersuing his former business partners, claiming that they conspired against him and that he “has suffered shame and humiliation” as a result of their suit.


Will the Thane of Cawdor win the Iowa caucuses?

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on December 28th, 2011 5:32 am by HL

Will the Thane of Cawdor win the Iowa caucuses?
So what sort of columns should a cynical pundit write during the last year on the Mayan Calendar?


The Debunking Handbook, Part 2: The Familiarity Backfire Effect

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on December 28th, 2011 5:32 am by HL

The Debunking Handbook, Part 2: The Familiarity Backfire Effect
The Debunking Handbook is a guide to debunking myths, by John Cook and Stephan Lewandowsky. It boils down the research on the psychological research on misinformation into a short, simple summary. This is part two of a five-part series cross-posted from Skeptical Science. To debunk a myth, you often have to mention it — otherwise, […]

The Debunking Handbook is a guide to debunking myths, by John Cook and Stephan Lewandowsky. It boils down the research on the psychological research on misinformation into a short, simple summary.

This is part two of a five-part series cross-posted from Skeptical Science.

To debunk a myth, you often have to mention it — otherwise, how will people know what you’re talking about? However, this makes people more familiar with the myth and hence more likely to accept it as true. Does this mean debunking a myth might actually reinforce it in people’s minds?

To test for this backfire effect, people were shown a flyer that debunked common myths about flu vaccines.1 Afterwards, they were asked to separate the myths from the facts. When asked immediately after reading the flyer, people successfully identified the myths. However, when queried 30 minutes after reading the flyer, some people actually scored worse after reading the flyer. The debunking reinforced the myths.

Hence the backfire effect is real. The driving force is the fact that familiarity increases the chances of accepting information as true. Immediately after reading the flyer, people remembered the details that debunked the myth and successfully identified the myths. As time passed, however,  the memory of the details faded and all people remembered was the myth without the “tag” that identified it as false. This effect is particularly strong in older adults because their memories are more vulnerable to forgetting of details.

How does one avoid causing the Familiarity Backfire Effect? Ideally, avoid mentioning the myth altogether while correcting it. When seeking to counter misinformation, the best approach is to focus on the facts you wish to communicate.

Not mentioning the myth is sometimes not a practical option. In this case, the emphasis of the debunking should be on the facts. The often-seen technique of headlining your debunking with the myth in big, bold letters is the last thing you want to do. Instead, communicate your core fact in the headline. Your debunking should begin with emphasis on the facts, not the myth. Your goal is to increase people’s familiarity with the facts.

The Debunking Handbook, a guide to debunking misinformation, is now freely available to download.

References

  1. Skurnik, I., Yoon, C., Park, D., & Schwarz, N. (2005). How warnings about false claims become recommendations. Journal of Consumer Research, 31, 713-724.


Featured Advertiser

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on December 28th, 2011 5:31 am by HL

Featured Advertiser

Will the payroll tax conference committee be ‘Supercommittee 2.0’?

When Congress reconvenes in January, at the top of its agenda will be an effort by a bipartisan, bicameral group of lawmakers to strike a deal that either finds savings in the federal budget or raises taxes — or both.

Sound familiar?

The mandate of the 20 lawmakers tapped to serve on the payroll tax conference committee is somewhat similar to that of the bipartisan “supercommittee” that fell short in its effort to tame the debt this fall. But there are several key differences between the two panels.

Read full article >>

Gingrich fights back, aiming at Romney as Iowa caucuses heat up

DUBUQUE, Iowa — The Republican presidential candidates opened an intensive week of campaigning in wide-open Iowa on Tuesday with the embattled Newt Gingrich casting rival Mitt Romney as an establishment defender of big government and accusing Romney’s supporters of lying about his record.

Gingrich, who has fallen after holding the lead a month ago, went to work trying to limit the damage done by the millions of dollars’ worth of negative ads aimed at him in recent weeks and counter the growing impression that Romney is suddenly well positioned to win in Iowa and consolidate a grip on the nomination.

Read full article >>

Frontrunners stay (mostly) positive as super PACs do dirty work

The leading candidates for the Republican presidential nomination continue to churn out positive television ad after positive television ad, even on the eve of the first ballots being cast in a close race in Iowa.

So is this the end of negative campaigning?

Hardly.

According to the Post’s handy “Mad Money” campaign ad tracker, the ad war between Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich has been a veritable love fest. Every ad run by Gingrich has been positive, and 87 percent of Romney’s ads have been positive.

Read full article >>

State efforts put more children on health insurance rolls, despite economic downturn

Publicly funded programs have enabled 1.2 million more children to gain health insurance since 2008 — at least in part due to extra work by many states to ensure that more of the children who are eligible for the programs are actually signed up, Obama administration officials plan to announce Wednesday.

Read full article >>


Voting Rights Act Still Matters

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on December 28th, 2011 5:30 am by HL

Voting Rights Act Still Matters

Why Romney’s Electability Is a Myth
John Hawkins, Townhall
Mitt Romney was a moderate governor in Massachusetts with an unimpressive record of governance, who left office with an approval rating in the thirties, and whose signature achievement was a Hurricane Katrina style disaster for the state. Since that's the case, it's fair to ask what a Republican who's not conservative and can't even carry his own state brings to the table for GOP primary voters. The answer is always the same; Mitt Romney is supposed to be “the most electable” candidate. This is a baffling argument because many people just seem to assume it's…

Behind the White House’s Green-Tech Boondoggles
Ed Morrissey, Hot Air
Color me shocked, shocked at this revelation from yesterday’s Washington Post.  Politically-connected investors influencing government subsidies?  Inconceivable!Meant to create jobs and cut reliance on foreign oil, Obama's green-technology program was infused with politics at every level, The Washington Post found in an analysis of thousands of memos, company records and internal ­e-mails. Political considerations were raised repeatedly by company investors, Energy Department bureaucrats and White House officials.

Europe Looks to Short-Term Fixes Amid Growing Problems

China Rail Fail
Walter Russell Mead, The American Interest
The Panda Lobby, the pundits and policy wonks who want the US to imitate China's state capitalism, has long celebrated what it claims to be China's far sighted and effective approach to industrial policy.  China, the Panda pundits tell us, will own the future because of its courageous subsidies to green technology and high speed rail.  The meltdown of the Chinese solar industry has been widely reported; now comes word that the rail program is also in trouble.