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Archive for July, 2008

Ex-McCain Aide Blasts Former Boss

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:42 am by HL

Ex-McCain Aide Blasts Former Boss
John Weaver, a long time confidant and friend of Sen. John McCain, told Marc Ambinder that McCain’s current campaign strategy “diminishes John McCain” and the recent ad linking Sen. Barack Obama to Paris Hilton and Britney Spears was “childish.”

Said Weaver: “For McCain to win in such troubled times, he needs to begin telling the American people how he intends to lead us. That McCain exists. He can inspire the country to greatness. There is legitimate mockery of a political campaign now, and it isn’t at Obama’s. For McCain’s sake, this tomfoolery needs to stop.”

Related on Political Insider: Is being a celebrity good politics?

McCain Links Obama to Paris Hilton, Britney Spears
Josh Marshall: “I note with interest today, John McCain’s new tactic of associating Barack Obama with oversexed and/or promiscuous young white women. Presumably, a la Harold Ford 2006, this will be one of those strategies that will be a matter of deep dispute during the campaign and later treated as transparent and obvious once the campaign is concluded.”


30-Foot Rat Awaits Lieberman At GOP Convention

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:41 am by HL

30-Foot Rat Awaits Lieberman At GOP Convention
From the same folks who brought you the Kiss Float… It looks like a gigantic inflatable rat, in honor of His Holiness the Joe, will be making an appearance at the Republican National Convention this summer.

rat.jpgFrom the same folks who brought you the Kiss Float…

I was up in Connecticut a couple of weekends ago on a UHaul run (being one of those people who buys furniture on Ebay and worries about how they’re going to get home it later). Of course I had to have lunch with Ed Anderson, fellow veteran of the Ned Lamont race who is still in the business of mercilessly taunting all Republicans and Joe Lieberman in particular. Ed told me that he was headed for Minneapolis in August, where he had plans to unveil a 30 foot giant inflatable rat in honor of the Junior Senator from the state of Connecticut.

Now, most people who say such things might just be blowing smoke, but Ed has a history of making his…er…”artistic vision” manifest. Remember that Ed, along with CTKeith, created the infamous “kiss” buttons that inspired the classic float which dogged Lieberman throughout his 2006 race. He also famously showed up at a New Hampshire McCain rally sporting a sign that said “Bomb Iran! Vote McCain” before having one cocktail too many and putting Terry McAuliffe in a death grip.

So when Ed says he’s bringing a giant rat to Minneapolis, I take him seriously.

Looks like others do, too.

Stamford Advocate:

Some of the same Connecticut Democrats who stalked the senator on the re-election trail two years ago with the famous “kiss” float - a papier mache likeness of President Bush kissing Lieberman after the 2005 State of the Union address - are hoping to make a similar splash at the GOP fete Sept. 1-4.

If Lieberman’s detractors get their way, their prop would be a 30-foot inflatable rat, the kind unions typically use when construction workers cross picket lines.

Raw Story:

Anderson warns Lieberman not to show up at the convention, as he’s ready to apply for permits to put the inflatable rat outside the Xcel Energy Center, the convention site.

Yesterday Lieberman appeared on the Christian Broadcasting Network and when asked about the GOP convention, he said “you might just see me there.”

Go Ed (who has more on his new blog).

For nostalgia buffs, the YouTube above is from the July 4, 2006 Boom Box parade in Connecticut, where the Kiss Float appeared. Careful observers can spot CTKeith, Ed Anderson, Maura Keaney (now Jim Himes’ campaign manager) as well as me and the poodles, who were thought to be yet another float by children in attendance.



Cheech and Chong to Reunite for Comedy Tour

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:40 am by HL

Cheech and Chong to Reunite for Comedy Tour

Resolving a 25 year inability to just get along, Cheech and Chong, recognizing they aren't getting any younger, are going to reunite and go on tour with a comedy show, called “Hey, What's That Smell?” Details will be announced this afternoon.

Says Cheech Marin:

Marin said he thinks dope humor can be as funny today as it was back in the '70s.

“I think it's time for a revival of dope jokes. It's a much bigger audience now, it's much more widespread and institutionalized,” he said in an interview earlier this month.

I hope someone books them for Denver the week of the Convention. The Dems could use some prodding about the need to reform our marijuana laws.

Here's my 90 second video interview of Tommy Chong at Owl Farm last year, with Jimmy Ibbotson (formerly of the Nitty Gritty Dirt band) singing in the background.)


You Mean It Isn’t Good News For Republicans?

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:39 am by HL

You Mean It Isn’t Good News For Republicans?
Dick Polman obviously doesn’t understand how things work in DC.

The federal indictment of the GOP’s longest-serving U.S. senator - on seven felony counts, stemming from his seven-year sweetheart association with an oil-services company - is not merely a severe embarrassment to the minority party on Capitol Hill, a party that had been ousted from power in ‘06 partly because certain ethics-challenged members had already stained the Republican brand. The bottom line is that Ted Stevens’ legal predicament is a gift to the Democrats, who dream of gaining nine Senate seats on election day, thus dominating the chamber next January with a filibuster-proof tally of 60.


In a Perfect Storm of Economic Stagflation, the Yachting Set Says: “Let Them Eat Pizza”

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:38 am by HL

In a Perfect Storm of Economic Stagflation, the Yachting Set Says: “Let Them Eat Pizza”
Officially, “stagflation” is a thing of the past, but a deeper look reveals a different, very current reality for most Americans.

Media Hyping Viagra for Women for Drug Company Greed
Drugmaker Pfizer is claiming a new use for Viagra, which would conveniently treat the side effects of one of its other drugs.


Group Responds To McCain Ad: Britney And McCain Both Heart Bush!

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:37 am by HL

Group Responds To McCain Ad: Britney And McCain Both Heart Bush!
Here’s a fun video response to McCain’s Obama-Britney ad from ProgressiveAccountability.org, that third-party group that reconstituted from David Brock’s old outfit… The vid shows a well-known, and particularly vacuous, Britney moment where she professes undying trust in Bush, and pairs…


Special Counsel Says He Has No Plans To Resign From Office

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:36 am by HL

Special Counsel Says He Has No Plans To Resign From Office
Yesterday we learned that Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA) wrote a letter to Special Counsel Scott Bloch urging the embattled chief of the independent investigative office to step down. Bloch’s had a lot of problems lately. He’s under investigation by the…


McCain +4? Really?

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:35 am by HL

McCain +4? Really?

Gallup has been doing polling since the year 0 (Okay, I know there was no year 0 and Gallup has only been around for 70 years but you get my point.) Gallup released the results of 2 polls yesterday. One was their daily tracking poll which I try not to look at. This tracking poll is nothing. It has little or no meaning. We don’t elect our president as a nation instead we elect by states. Therefore a tracking poll of each state would be of some value. A national tracking poll is a popularity contest (or a horse race) which may have no reflection on how states will vote. Anyway, in the Daily Tracking poll Obama was up by 8 points.

In a separate poll also done by Gallup, Obama was ahead among registered voters but behind John McCain in the subgroup of likely to vote registered voters by 4 points. I listened to Countdown last night. Keith Olbermann and Richard Wolfe tried to make some sense of these numbers but they mangled it pretty badly. So, I went to one of my best sources for polling results - the blog 538. (See below the video for an excellent explanation.)

From 538:

Kudos to Gallup for disclosing the process and perils of its likely voter model, but as Alan Abramowitz has noted at Pollster.com, something about the new USA Today/Gallup poll showing John McCain 4 points ahead among likely voters — but 3 points behind among registered voters — doesn’t quite sit right:

How do you get from a 47-44 Obama lead among RVs to a 49-45 McCain lead among LVs?

A few quick calculations shows how. You have 900 RVs and 791 LVs, so that means that among your 109 UVs (that’s unlikely voters according to Gallup) Obama leads McCain by a whopping 61% to 7%.

Putting it another way, according to Gallup 16% of registered Obama supporters are unlikely to vote compared with only 2% of registered McCain supporters.

Whatever one thinks about likely voter models in general, the mathematics of this particular implementation defy credulity. Although, we should probably wait for USA Today to release its crosstabs so we can make sure there wasn’t a typographical error of some kind in the write-up.

Also, this is a good time to mention Robert Erikson’s critique of the extra volatility introduced by Gallup’s likely voter model in past election cycles.

Now that is an explanation that I can sink my teeth into. Gallup had to have made a huge sampling error. My take home lesson is to pay a little less attention to the polls and more attention trying to get Obama elected.


Buyers of bogus degrees named

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:34 am by HL

Buyers of bogus degrees named
Hundreds of people working in the military, government and education are on a list of almost 10,000 people who spent $7.3 million buying phony and counterfeit high school and college degrees from a Spokane diploma mill. The complete list of buyers, which the U.S. Department of Justice has refused to release to the public, has been obtained by The Spokesman-Review.

Blog: Another race hoax exposed?
Meet Nick Kasoff of Ferguson, Mo. (a suburb of St. Louis). He is a former radio talk show host and a home-computer consultant. He owns rental properties. Mr. Kasoff is also politically active. He was a delegate to the Missouri Republican convention in May. Kasoff supported Ron Paul, but now he’s backing John McCain. “At this point, I will do whatever I can to prevent socialist Barak Obama from being elected as President,” he wrote…


DOJ IG: We found ?no sufficient basis for criminal prosecutions? against Goodling or Sampson.

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:33 am by HL

DOJ IG: We found ?no sufficient basis for criminal prosecutions? against Goodling or Sampson.
Testifying before the Senate Judiciary Committee today on his latest report on the politicization of the Department of Justice, DOJ Inspector General Glenn Fine said he “did not think there was a sufficient basis for criminal prosecutions for false statements for anyone” involved. Watch it: Later in the hearing, when Sen. […]

Testifying before the Senate Judiciary Committee today on his latest report on the politicization of the Department of Justice, DOJ Inspector General Glenn Fine said he “did not think there was a sufficient basis for criminal prosecutions for false statements for anyone” involved. Watch it:

Later in the hearing, when Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) asked whether Monica Goodling, Kyle Sampson, and others responsible got away with their misconduct “scott free,” Fine noted that there are still “potential bar issues for the attorneys who have committed misconduct.” “So I don’t believe they have gotten away with it,” he said.


As Aides Map Aggressive Race, McCain Often Steers Off Course

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:32 am by HL

As Aides Map Aggressive Race, McCain Often Steers Off Course
KANSAS CITY, Mo., July 30 — Sen. John McCain last week delivered one of his sharpest critiques yet of Sen. Barack Obama’s Iraq policies, carefully reading a prepared speech that accused his Democratic rival of failing the commander-in-chief test and promoting ideas that would force American troops…


Joe Klein Digs Deeper

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 31st, 2008 4:28 am by HL

Joe Klein Digs Deeper
Peter Wehner, National Review Online

Can Iraq’s New Calm Hold?
Gordon Lubold, Christian Science Monitor


Kaine Cancels Appearance Tomorrow

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 30th, 2008 4:42 am by HL

Kaine Cancels Appearance Tomorrow
Due to a “scheduling problem,” the Politicker has learned that Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine will not attend tomorrow night’s fundraiser for the Maryland Democratic State Central Committee as previously planned.

Meanwhile, NBC News reports Obama was at veep vetter Eric Holder’s office for the second day in a row.

Geek Power
The Wall Street Journal runs an interesting piece on “the most unlikely fund-raising success story of this campaign season.”

“Running to represent a mostly lower-middle-class district with just 11,000 registered voters,” Sean Tevis “has raised more than $95,000. The astounding sum hasn’t come from his neighbors, but from kindred spirits nationwide. Systems analysts, programmers and Web designers have showered him with donations in appreciation of his offbeat online fund-raising plea, which consists of a stick-figure comic strip Running for Office: It’s Like a Flamewar With a Forum Troll, but With an Eventual Winner.”


What Should Obama Do For Us?

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 30th, 2008 4:41 am by HL

What Should Obama Do For Us?
What can we get from the Obama Administration in exchange for our money and our work on his campaign? There is no doubt we will vote for Obama. Many of us will do more, contribute money, do phones, door-to-door and all the other nuts and bolts of an election. But what are we going to get for it? We have something to offer, our enthusiasm and our work. They need to put something on the table to earn it.

[This is the great post masaccio originally posted to Oxdown Gazette–before we delayed the start of it. I wanted to publish it here to further the great discussion masaccio started. -ew]

[And was so inspiring we wanted fdl pups to see it too. Welcome, masaccio! -eg]

What can we get from an Obama Administration in exchange for our money and our work on his campaign?

There is no doubt we will vote for Obama. Many of us will do more, contribute money, do phones, door-to-door and all the other nuts and bolts of an election. Many of us were stirred into action by Jane and Christy, and without them would never have thought of doing this stuff.

But what are we going to get for it? Right now, the pols and consultants think we will work because we are afraid that four more years of McBush will ruin the country. They don’t expect to have to do anything for us in exchange. They think Obama can run to the mushy middle, and we will hold our noses and work hard like we always do. In the past, the Democrats have been able to take advantage of the fact that on most of the issues, their views are close enough to ours that we’ll just work for them, and be happy with whatever we get. Some of us will be active because of health care, or ending the war, or the Supreme Court, or some other specific issue, and that will seem like enough to motivate us; we’ll provide our services and our money, and once in office, they pat us on the head and say “aren’t those bloggers cute”.

This election is different. For the first time, it isn’t the candidate, party pols, rich business contributors or consultants who are leading us. Our leaders come from our own ranks. Each of us votes with our clicks and our dollars for those we think express our views, those we select to teach us about issues, and those whose sense of humor resonates best. The issues we care about grew organically from our own efforts, not some pointless national poll, tilted by the views of too many ill-informed potential voters, but in the robust give and take of post and comment. It manifests itself in phone calls, e-mails and letters, contributions of money, and all the rest of the efforts we saw in the FISA battle.

In this election for the very first time, the hard-core political operatives know a large number of activists are reading lefty blogs, and are getting fired up, not by their efforts or the candidate, or press releases with pallid promises on traditional Democratic Party issues, but by our own issues. Even the mainstream media recognizes this. Glenn Greenwald and our own Jane Hamsher are now worthy of being quoted.

Activists have never made demands in the past. In fact, we have never had the ability to make demands. We have never had a voice. Now we do. If the netroots can come together on a single demand, we can make it stick.

We offer our enthusiasm, our money, and our work. They need to put something on the table to earn it. Remember, we can put our efforts into other parts of the campaign for what we want: working for more and better democrats at every level. Many commenters here and at firedoglake have made it clear they think this is a better use of our efforts anyway. You want us working for Obama? Give us something. Something real, and something we select.

If you don’t, the blogs will say so out loud, and encourage every one of their readers to move to the other part of this election: more and better democrats. This is a real threat. We have the template for that here at FDL, many other sites. We want legislators who will be responsive to us. We know that many of the democrats we elect, like Donna Edwards, will listen to us, even if we aren’t in their district. That will be a better outcome than helping Obama with no return. It won’t be perfect, many of us will work for Obama, but there will be a noticeable difference.

And remember this. A big chunk of the netroots is angry because of the way HRC was treated. Another big chunk of us are angry because of the cavalier way Obama dealt with women’s right to control their own bodies. And another big chunk are angry about FISA. Cass Sunstein’s comments have angered more than they might guess. If he wants a big victory, he needs all of us.

How do we get this to work?

Emptywheel posted here a workshop on lessons learned from the FISA fight, and the commenters joined in. Here is a list of ideas that will serve as action points focused on offense rather than defense
1. Identify the real terms of debate. EW
2. Recognize when leadership begins to negotiate. EW
3. Profile all the key players. EW
4. Open up better lines of communication with our allies in the media. wigwam @ 9
5. Better counter-messaging when we draw fire, while holding our own points. EW in text and @ 11
6. Transparency and coordination in decisions about strategy. maryb2004 @ 28
7. Start earlier. MadDog @ 38
8. Build a broad based coalition earlier. klynn @ 89
9. And the money: Ron1 talks intelligently about money in several comments.

These ideas are the nucleus for an action plan. We find out who we need to influence, and gather information about them. This makes it easier to figure our how to make our demands work. We have a backup plan, our minimum demand, in case we have to negotiate off our initial position. We make sure the people doing the negotiating are competent. We work on a media strategy to make our views open to the nation. We start now. We seek allies. The money follows along in due course.

Earlofhuntington made a strong point that the blogosphere isn’t like the groups traditional politicians are used to dealing with. We are fractious and demanding, and it is not easy to hold us accountable. We need to figure out how to be more like traditional bargaining partners. This means being accountable, reliable, and responsible.

What do we demand?

I want to call special attention to maryb2004’s view that the decision on what to demand must be as transparent as possible. Moveon polled its members on the endorsement of Obama, and regularly seeks input from members. We can’t do that, and I don’t think that kind of thing works well anyway. But if there is an open and robust discussion on the front pages of lots of sites, we can learn from comments if we are in the wrong place with a particular demand and alter it to one that resonates with more people. Only then will we be in a position to make a demand we can enforce.

We have to act responsibly. There is no point in making demands that relate to existing campaign issues, like ending the war, health care, or taxes. Instead, we pick something currently off the radar for the general election. It has to be something we can get that won’t throw the general campaign off balance. If we demanded and got something really splashy, it might well backfire.

That said, there are many issues that we deeply care about. Here is a starter list: FISA reform; Patriot Act changes; Input on selection of the Attorney General; Appointment of some of our people to responsible positions in the new administration. This list can grow.

An Example: Accountability

I really care about accountability. I think lack of accountability is at the root of the damage this administration and its cronies have inflicted on us for the past seven years. It has the advantage that it can be publicly announced, without upsetting the general campaign. Obama has already promised to do something vague on the issue, although this was recently undercut by Cass Sunstein.

Here is the first step: we prepare a demand letter; not to send, but to serve as a discussion paper. Here’s how it might look.

1. We want accountability for specific issues:
a. torture
b. eavesdropping
c. the lies that led us into war
d. corruption in the Department of Justice
e. politicization at all other departments

2. If Bush pardons people, we want an independent truth and reconciliation commission with subpoena power and the power to examine witnesses in public. We don’t want whitewash artists like Lee Hamilton or Warren Christopher on such a commission but people with the courage to take us where the truth leads. We want input into selection of the staff. We want a written report. And we want Obama to speak about the report publicly, naming names and publicly accusing people of the evil they have done in our name.

3. If Bush doesn’t pardon people, we want a new unit of the AG set up immediately to work on criminal prosecutions. We want either prosecutions or a report, and a report that Obama will stand behind.

4. We want public release of all of the torture opinions including those of Judge Bybee, John Yoo, and Stephen Bradbury, and of all related files.

5. We want an end to stalling on FOIA requests and Congressional staff inquiries.

The letter has to be clear and pointed. It has to state our demand precisely. And it has to be something we are willing to enforce. Once the terms are in place, we have to deliver, so they will. The letter creates public accountability both ways.

Conclusion.

I am sick of seeing my money and work go for nothing. I am disgusted that the few progressive issues we get moving are stalled and crushed by Steny Hoyer and the Blue Dogs. I am stunned that the Congress has let this sleazy administration have its way on issue after issue, ignoring the will of the people who elected them.

Can we have accountability in an Obama presidency? Yes we can! But only if we force the issue.


Dinner With Hillary, $5 bucks

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 30th, 2008 4:40 am by HL

Dinner With Hillary, $5 bucks

Sen. Hillary Clinton is having a contest. For a $5.00 contribution to help her retire her campaign debt, you will be entered. The winner gets dinner with Hillary.

If you are a Democrat or were a Hillary supporter during the primaries, I hope you'll help her out.


TNR

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 30th, 2008 4:39 am by HL

TNR
Does it ever tire of publishing people who make stuff up?


McCain’s Doctors: No Recurrence Of Cancer

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 30th, 2008 4:36 am by HL

McCain’s Doctors: No Recurrence Of Cancer
John McCain got some good news today, with a skin biopsy showing no recurrence of skin cancer. “Senator McCain visited the Mayo Clinic in Scottsdale, Arizona, yesterday for a routine check of his dermatological health,” said Michael Yardley, chair of…


Yglesias does a micro-bio on one of DC

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 30th, 2008 4:35 am by HL


Yglesias does a micro-bio on one of DC journalism’s rapidly-rising young bullshit artists….


Pelosi: ‘I’m trying to save the planet’

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 30th, 2008 4:34 am by HL

Pelosi: ‘I’m trying to save the planet’
Pelosi plays hardball on offshore oil and gas exploration.

Obama, ‘puzzling’ law professor
Obama, ‘puzzling’ law professor