Hilary: Illusion, or Reality?
Posted in H.L. News, Main Blog (All Posts) on February 10th, 2007 4:39 pm by HL
The Hillary Illusion
Op-Ed News
Excerpt
The truth is that there are portions of this country that are not ready to vote for a woman, let alone this woman.
Most people either love her or they hate her. But love her or hate her nearly everyone has already made their mind up about her. A candidate like Obama or Edwards, people still will give a chance to get to know. Not so with Hillary. Make no mistake, she can win the primaries, but in a general election, she would start the GOP with 200-230 electoral votes. Then the Republican Party can concentrate their vast efforts and fortunes on those small handful of swing states and overwhelm her.
Too much doom and gloom you think? Ask yourself in all seriousness what states will not elect a woman, and then move into those that have a natural anti-Hillary slant. What are you left with? Not too many my friends.
H.L.s Take:
This guy makes some interesting points in this article buy I disagree with his main premise. I looked at the 2004 Electoral Map.
I seriously doubt that any of the states that voted Democratic last time are going to switch over after the continued failure of the Repbulicans. So all Hilary has to do is win Ohio, which of course Kerry won in ’04, and she’s in. Of course since Hilary (and Bill) are fighters, they are not going to just give Ohio away like Kerry did. Bush “won” (stole) the election last time by 34 Electoral votes, which means Hilary needs to pick up 18 votes. Ohio has 20. She should also have no trouble winning Louisiana after the Bush Katrina debacle, I think she is also capable of taking Colorado (9) New Mexico(5) and Nevada (5), and there are other red states that could turn blue by 2008 so even if Hilary somehow lost Ohio she could still pull enough votes to win. The main thing though will be Ohio, all she has to do is not let the Republicans steal it again