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McDonnell on the Way to Big Win

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on November 2nd, 2009 5:38 am by HL

McDonnell on the Way to Big Win
The final Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia shows Bob McDonnell (R) leading Creigh Deeds (R) by 14 points, 56% to 42%.

Analysis: “In a finding that may sum up what happened here 63% of voters in the state think McDonnell made a strong case for why he should be Governor while only 34% said the same of Deeds. Even 36% of Deeds’ supporters said he hadn’t made a good argument for why he should be elected.”

How Democrats Won Scozzafava
Politico has a good behind-the-scenes piece on how Democrats won over Dede Scozzafava (R) to endorse Bill Owens (D) in New York’s 23rd congressional district special election after she dropped out of the race a day earlier.

Poll Shows Gay Marriage Law May Be Repealed in Maine
A new Public Policy Polling survey finds Maine voters favor repealing the state’s law legalizing gay marriage by a narrow margin, 51% to 47%.

Two weeks ago, a similar poll found voters deadlocked at 48%.

Analysis: “The measure’s fate could be determined by the age composition of the electorate on Tuesday. Senior citizens support it by a 59-40 margin while voters under 30 oppose it 51-48. Last year exit polls showed more voters under 30 turning out for the Presidential election than ones over 65 but we expect seniors to turn out at a much higher rate than younger voters this year, as is often the case in off year elections. If the electorate ends up being younger than we anticipate the fight could be even closer.”

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