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Archive for July 12th, 2011

Tight race in California, but upset not expected

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 12th, 2011 4:35 am by HL

Tight race in California, but upset not expected

Republicans are no longer feeling enthusiastic about Tuesday special election in California’s 36th district, an overwhelmingly blue seat that — briefly — appeared to be up for grabs.

In recent weeks, there were reports that Los Angeles City Councilwoman Janice Hahn (D) was in real danger of losing to businessman Craig Huey (R) in the special election to replace former Rep. Jane Harman (D). Even House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi warned that the seat was not safe.

But despite publicly saying the race remains competitive, Republicans are privately acknowledging that they would be hugely surprised to win this seat.

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Gun dealers will have to report multiple sales of semiautomatic rifle

The Obama administration implemented its most aggressive and controversial gun measure to date Monday when it ordered dealers in four Southwestern states to report multiple sales of semiautomatic rifles to the federal firearms bureau.

The rule, which had been opposed by the National Rifle Association and many members of Congress, takes effect immediately and is meant to stem gunrunning to violent Mexican drug gangs. It requires about 8,500 dealers operating in the border states of California, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas to alert authorities when a person buys within five days two or more semiautomatic rifles greater than .22 caliber with detachable magazines.

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‘Flexibility’ may help states meet key part of health-care law

Faced with the possibility that many states may not be ready to meet a crucial requirement of the federal health-care law passed last year, the Obama administration has proposed rules redefining what “ready” means.

To boot, officials did just that in a setting designed to win over that most politically sought-after of groups: small-business owners.

The health-care law set a deadline of Jan. 1, 2013, by which federal officials must decide whether each state will be capable of getting its insurance marketplaces — also known as “exchanges” and the backbone of the new system — up and running by 2014. If a state doesn’t make the grade, the law directs the federal government to step in with its own version.

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The GOP’s tax delusion

The Bush tax cuts were not supposed to last forever. Alan Greenspan, whose oracular endorsement was perhaps the single most decisive event in their passage, made it very clear that they were a temporary solution to a temporary surplus. “Recent data significantly raise the probability that sufficient resources will be available to undertake both debt reduction and surplus-lowering policy initiatives,” Greenspan said in 2001.

Okay, so maybe he wasn’t so clear. But everyone knew what he meant. And, broadly speaking, they agreed. We had a big surplus. It was time to do something with it. Brad DeLong, a former Clinton administration official and an economist at the University of California at Berkeley, didn’t want to see the surplus spent on tax cuts. He wanted to see it spent on public investments. “Nevertheless,” he wrote in 2001, “it is hard to disagree with Greenspan’s position that — if our future economic growth is as bright as appears likely— it will be time by the middle of this decade to do something to drastically cut the government’s surpluses.”

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High Court May Wade Into Election Year Politics

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on July 12th, 2011 4:31 am by HL

High Court May Wade Into Election Year Politics
Albert Hunt, Bloomberg
A familiar pattern of pastpresidential elections is that early in the cycle both partiesgin up their base with warnings about dire consequences if theother side controls the next Supreme Court selections; after afew well-timed speeches and fundraising appeals the matter isusually ignored by the electorate.Next year could be different by becoming the first timesince 1968 that the Supreme Court is a central issue in theAmerican national elections.

Obamanomics Driving Americans Out of Workforce

The GOP’s False Fiscal Narrative
Peter Beinart, The Daily Beast
Storyline No. 1: Republicans are desperate to balance America's books. This is, to be sure, what Republicans say. But is there any reason to take them at face value? During the Bush years, after all, the GOP was anything but desperate to put America’s fiscal house in order. The Bush administration launched wars that increased the deficit, pushed tax cuts that increased the deficit, even pushed entitlement expansions—such as the prescription-drug benefit—that increased the deficit.

Iran’s Nuclear Threat is Escalating
William Hague, The Guardian
On 8 June, the head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organisation, Fereydoun Abbasi Davani, announced plans to triple Iran's capacity to produce 20% enriched uranium, transferring enrichment from Natanz to the Fordo plant. Inside Iran this announcement by a discredited regime drew little comment and was quickly overshadowed by the domestic political theatre of the latest high-profile tussles between Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. But it was an important statement because it makes even clearer the fact that Iran's programme is not designed for purely…