Early Polls Still Matter
Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on April 4th, 2011 4:39 am by HL
Early Polls Still Matter
Nate Silver makes the case that “contrary to what you may have read elsewhere, national polls of primary voters — even this far out from the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary — do have a reasonable amount of predictive power in informing us as to the identity of the eventual nominee. That doesn’t mean that these polls are the only thing you should look at, or even necessarily the first thing, but they are a perfectly valid way to do some initial handicapping.”
Huckabee Wins Straw Poll in South Carolina
Mike Huckabee won a presidential straw poll in South Carolina over the weekend, despite showing few signs of wanting to mount another bid for the nation’s highest executive office, CNN reports.
Huckabee got 23% of the vote in the straw poll. Following him were Newt Gingrich with 11% support and Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) with 10%.