Poll: Ernst Widens Lead in Iowa Senate Race
Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on October 29th, 2014 11:08 pm by HL
Poll: Ernst Widens Lead in Iowa Senate Race
Adam O’Neal, RealClearPolitics
Iowa U.S. Senate hopeful Joni Ernst is beginning to pull away from her opponent, Bruce Braley, according to a new Quinnipiac University survey. Forty-nine percent of likely voters back the Republican state senator, while 45 percent back Rep. Braley. That places Ernst’s lead outside the margin of error, though 5 percent of voters remain undecided. Ernst leads by an average of 2.1 percentage points. RCP rates the race a tossup. Polling had shown the race — one of the most pivotal for Republicans hoping to take control of the Senate — to be narrowing recently, and one survey even…
Can Nunn Re-create Georgia’s 1990s Democratic Coalition?
Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics
Georgia has a surprisingly (to some) close Senate race. Businessman David Perdue leads Michelle Nunn by 0.5 percentage points in the RCP Average. If neither candidate reaches 50 percent, the race will go to a runoff on Jan. 6, where most analysts suspect Perdue will be favored. But how did things get to this point in the first place? Is it demographic change in Georgia — where only about 55 percent of the population is non-Hispanic white today? As is often the case when studying American politics, it is useful to start with a brief geography lesson, followed by an overview of history, to…
Republican Ballots Lead in Colorado Early Voting
David Byler, RealClearPolitics
Republicans lead Democrats, 41.9 percent-32.5 percent, in early voting in Colorado, according to official results published by Colorado Secretary of State Scott Gessler. These results are promising for Republican Rep. Cory Gardner and Republican gubernatorial candidate Bob Beauprez. Gardner is facing Democratic incumbent Mark Udall in the state’s U.S. Senate election, and Beauprez is challenging Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper in his bid for re-election. The RCP polling average shows Gardner ahead of Udall, 47 percent-43.7 percent, and Beauprez tied with Hickenlooper at 45.1 percent…