For Expectations, Zogby Should Be the Clinton’s Choice
Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on May 4th, 2008 4:38 am by HL
For Expectations, Zogby Should Be the Clinton’s Choice
John Zogby, after successfully jiggering his PA poll from an Obama lead to a Hillary 10 point advantage in the last three days before the Pennsylvania primary, has regained some Media cred. He is clearly a charlatan imo. But charlatans have political uses. For example, his latest polls have Obama up 9 in North Carolina (yesterday Obama was up 16 in the Zogby poll, which would NORMALLY mean Obama is cratering, but this is Zogby) and Obama up 1 in Indiana (up 1 from yesterday).
This presents an opportunity for the Clinton campaign in terms of the expectations game. Zogby tells a story of a huge Clinton rally in North Carolina from a 16 point deficit five days out. Zogby tells a story of an Indiana race as tight as a tick. I think you can mark it up now, Obama wins NC by 8-10 points. Clinton wins Indiana by 6-10 points. But in terms of expectations, Zogby gives the Clinton camp a lot to work with.
By Big Tent Democrat
