An Early Look at the Electoral Vote Map
Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on September 8th, 2011 4:38 am by HL
An Early Look at the Electoral Vote Map
Larry Sabato takes an early look at the Electoral College math:
“So Republicans are a lock or lead in 24 states for 206 electoral votes, and Democrats have or lead in 19 states for 247 electoral votes. Seven super-swing states with 85 electors will determine which party gets to the 270 Electoral College majority: Colorado (9), Florida (29), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), Ohio (18) and Virginia (13). Prior to Obama’s 2008 victories in each state, several of these toss-ups had generally or firmly leaned Republican for most elections since 1980. Virginia, which hadn’t voted Democratic since 1964, was the biggest surprise, and its Obama majority was larger than that of Ohio, which has frequently been friendly to Democrats in modern times. Massive Hispanic participation turned Colorado and Nevada to Obama, and it helped him in Florida. New Hampshire was the only state lost by Al Gore that switched to John Kerry; its special New England character makes it especially volatile. “
Romney Did Not Invoke Reagan
Smart Politics notes Mitt Romney was the only GOP presidential candidate who did not mention Ronald Reagan during last night’s debate at the Reagan Library.
“Romney’s silence on Reagan — particularly in the library that bears his name — was in stark contrast to former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who mentioned Reagan’s name nine times — more than twice the number of any other candidate. In total, Reagan was name-dropped 24 times by the candidates Wednesday evening.”
Quote of the Day
“The science is not settled on this. The idea that we would put Americans’ economy at jeopardy based on scientific theory that’s not settled yet to me is just nonsense. Just because you have a group of scientists who stood up and said here is the fact. Galileo got outvoted for a spell.”
— Texas Gov. Rick Perry, expressing skepticism on global climate change at last night’s presidential debate.