Democrats Close the Gap But Still Trail
Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on October 5th, 2010 4:41 am by HL
Democrats Close the Gap But Still Trail
A huge Republican advantage in the midterm elections subsided to merely a broad one in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll. In congressional vote preference, Republicans now lead among likely voters by just six points, 49% to 43%. That’s eased from a remarkable thirteen points lead last month.
Nonetheless, Republicans still are more charged up; they’re 16 points more apt than Democrats to say they’re certain to vote next month.
Interestingly, Tea Party affiliation has gone from a neutral factor to a net negative with 40% of Americans in support of the movement but 47% opposing it.
Kasich Maintains Lead in Ohio
A new Quinnipiac poll in Ohio shows John Kasich (R) with a nine point lead over Gov. Ted Strickland (D) among likely voters, 50% to 41%. Two weeks ago, Kasich led by 17 points.
Said pollster Peter Brown: “If Gov. Strickland is to mount a comeback, he needs to make a major dent in Kasich’s commanding lead among independent voters, who often make the difference in close elections in Ohio. Not only does Strickland have to take all the undecided voters, he needs to peel away some of the soft Kasich voters as well if he is to win.”
Coats Well Ahead in Indiana
A new EPIC/MRA poll in Indiana shows Dan Coats (R) has a comfortable lead over Brad Ellsworth (D) in the race for U.S. Senate, 51% to 33%, with Libertarian Rebecca Sink-Burris at 5%.
Perry Pulls Away in Texas
A new Public Strategies poll in Texas finds Gov. Rick Perry (R) has his largest lead over challenger Bill White (D) thus far in the race for governor, 50% to 36%.
Notes pollster David Iannelli: “Perry starts out his campaign with a big advantage. That is, counter to the rest of the nation, the majority of Texans think the state is heading in the right direction.”