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Primary Pre-Wrapup

Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on May 21st, 2008 4:39 am by HL

Primary Pre-Wrapup
Well, the good news for Hillary is that she totally spanked Obama in Kentucky (this is a sentence in which it is best to avoid the state abbreviation). The bad news for Hillary is that the 12 pledged delegates that Obama’s picked up (so far) give him a total of 1635, which is a majority of the 3253 pledged delegates (I don’t think this includes FL and MI, however). So she is now officially unable to win the nomination without the help of the superdelegates - and she’s trailing on those too.

Kentucky (92% reporting):

65% Clinton
30% Obama

Well, the good news for Hillary is that she totally spanked Obama in Kentucky (this is a sentence in which it is best to avoid the state abbreviation).  The bad news for Hillary is that the 12 pledged delegates that Obama’s picked up (so far) give him a total of 1635, which is a majority of the 3253 pledged delegates (I don’t think this includes FL and MI, however).  So she is now officially unable to win the nomination without the help of the superdelegates - and she’s trailing on those too.

In fact, Obama is now only 85 delegates away from winning the nomination outright, and he’ll get even closer after the rest of KY’s pledged delegates are allocated, and after he gets his share of Oregon delegates.  If Dave is right about him winning Oregon, he could easily be within 40 or 50 delegates of the nomination by tomorrow morning, with 94 pledged delegates left in PR, MT, and SD, and a little over 200 superdelegates still in play.

Also worth noting, it appears that Greg Fischer has lost the KY-SEN Democratic primary to Joe Lieberman Democrat Bruce Lunsford.  I’ll still root for Lunsford to beat McConnell, but I’ll be holding my nose and not expecting him to vote much differently from Mitch if he wins.

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