ARG Poll: Obama Holds Small Lead in Oregon
Posted in Main Blog (All Posts) on May 17th, 2008 4:38 am by HL
ARG Poll: Obama Holds Small Lead in Oregon
A new American Research Group poll in Oregon shows Sen. Barack Obama edging Sen. Hillary Clinton, 50% to 45%.
Key findings: Obama leads among men 57% to 39% and Clinton leads among women 51% to 44%. Obama leads among white voters 51% to 44% and Clinton leads among Hispanic voters 50% to 46% (6% of the vote). Obama leads 55% to 38% among those 18 to 49 and Clinton leads 52% to 45% among those 50 and older.
Also: Obama and Clinton are tied at 49% each among those saying they have already returned their ballots (2% refused) and Obama leads 52% to 40% among those saying they will definitely return their ballots by the May 20 deadline (42% of likely voters in the sample).
What Went Wrong?
Today’s must-read piece is a behind-the-scenes look by Michelle Cottle at the fall of Sen. Hillary Clinton’s presidential aspirations.
“Endings are rarely as joyous as beginnings — and in the case of a long, wearing, and ultimately disappointing campaign, they can be downright brutal. But they also have the potential to be educational, for participants and gawkers alike. So it is that we asked (begged, really) a range of Hillarylanders for their up-close and personal lists of ‘What Went Wrong?’ Not everyone wanted to play. Many stubbornly pointed out that their candidate is not yet dead. But, on the condition of total anonymity, a fairly broad enough cross-section of her staff responded — more than a dozen members all told, from high-level advisors to grunt-level assistants, from money men to on-the-ground organizers.”
